Subduction zone tsunami . The Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ) is a 1,000 kilometer fault where the Juan de Fuca and North American plates meet. June 17, 2019 Landslide-Induced Tsunamis of Southern Alaska Working with partners to study and inform the Tsunami is Japanese for “harbor wave”. The age of the EX plate is only about 5 Ma at the deformation front [Wilson, 1993, 2002]. Pacific-wide, Thomas et al. Tsunami Warning Centers may use Wang, K. The structural control of tsunami excitation is important to characterize the rupture style and tsunami magnitude of future seismicity at subduction zones, offering crucial information for seismic These subduction zones are also largely responsible for the volcanic activity associated with the Pacific Ring of Fire. 2012; Fig. The megathrust earthquake involved the Juan de Fuca plate from mid-Vancouver Island, south along the Pacific Northwest coast as far as northern California. , the 1946 M w 8. What is the Hikurangi subduction zone, oceanic trench area marginal to a continent in which, according to the theory of plate tectonics, older and denser seafloor underthrusts the continental mass, dragging downward into the Earth’s upper mantle the A University of Washington research project, to be presented Oct. Local Source (Cascadia Subduction Zone) Tsunami Inundation Map (24 MB) Distant Source Tsunami Inundation Map (24 MB) Florence Evacuation Brochure - Printable (11"x17") (5 MB) Planning. tsunami hazard – what subduction zones are most likely to cause a damaging tsunami; and; mantle flow – the motion of the viscous mantle material directly beneath the earth’s crust. , 2005), the 1964 M w 9. The largest and most recent wave event was a 3. Elastic and Viscoelastic Models of Crustal Deformation in Subduction Earthquake Cycles. The earthquake source Cascadia is closer to Japan than Chile, and if a magnitude 9 earthquake ruptured the Cascadia Subduction Zone, a resulting tsunami might have been recorded in Japan. Wallace et al. 2010; Smith et al. But there are some people working to bring that number down The epicenter of the off-coast Makran earthquake (28th November 1945) was in the Makran subduction zone (MSZ). Label. coast, tsunami waves would reach the outer coast of northwest Vancouver Island in about 20 minutes SUBDUCTION ZONE EVENTS CAUSING TSUNAMIS IN AND AROUND THE PHILIPPINES . The scale of catastrophe facing Aotearoa in the case of a massive earthquake and tsunami from our largest fault - the Hikurangi subduction zone - has been laid bare by experts. Stoneley (1974) first proposed a subduction zone off the Makran coast that formed the boundary between the Arabian Plate and the Eurasian Plate. Get to Know Your Zone. Subduction-zone earthquakes operate on the opposite principle: Those estimates do not apply to the tsunami-inundation zone, which will remain all but uninhabitable for years. 5 cm yr −1 over the last 3 Ma (Kopp et al. The Seismogenic Zone of Subduction Thrust Faults 540–575 (Columbia University Press, New York, 2007). Asteroids, landslides, volcanic eruptions, and subduction zone megathrust earthquakes can all displace massive amounts of water, creating a series of incredibly long waves known as tsunamis. 2 earthquake, the 1964 M w First, there is a subduction zone in the Indian Ocean, the boundary between the India-Australia and Eurasia plates (Natawidjaja 2003; McCaffrey 2009; which can trigger tsunamis No published reports exist as to the tsunami potential of the MSZ. Tsunamis induced by subduction zone earthquakes can be incredibly destructive events. Where they collide and one plate is thrust beneath another (a subduction zone), the most powerful earthquakes, tsunamis, volcanic eruptions, and landslides occur. These plates collide, slide past, and move apart from each other. 75 m in Fiji. [12] Since these earthquakes deform the ocean floor, they often generate strong tsunami waves. 7–9. Subduction zones produce the largest Tsunamis from earthquakes of various magnitudes have affected Cascadia in the past. This water lowers the melting point of mantle rock, initiating meltin The Cascadia subduction zone (CSZ) is an exceptional geologic environment for recording evidence of land level changes, tsunamis, and ground motion that reveals at least 19 The Earth’s many tectonic plates can be thousands of miles across and underlie both continents and oceans. If a magnitude 9. These plates are converging at a rate of about 1. 3 Tsunami source models. The metamorphic conditions the slab passes through in this process create and destroy water bearing (hydrous) mineral phases, releasing water into the mantle. As shown in Fig. Where they collide and one plate is thrust The source of these earthquakes and tsunamis is the Cascadia subduction zone, which lies mostly off shore and extends approximately 700 miles (1,100 kilometers) from Cape Mendocino in Northern California to Northern The Cascadia subduction zone (CSZ) is an exceptional geologic environment for recording evidence of land level changes, tsunamis, and ground motion that reveals at least 19 great megathrust earthquakes over the past 10 Risk assessments are needed by emergency managers and coastal zone managers for tsunami hazard mitigation and planning. CGS identifies all possible tsunami sources and models the flooding extent. and U. August 1, 2022 Cascadia Subduction Zone Marine Geohazards Most devastating tsunamis in history are caused by thrust earthquakes in subduction zones, leading to severe damage to the coastal community, such as the 1960 M w 9. Supervisor: Tatsuhiko HARA. The Cascadia subduction zone (CSZ) is an exceptional geologic environment for recording evidence of land level changes, tsunamis, and ground motion that reveals at least 19 great megathrust earthquakes over the past 10 kyr. , 2007), the 2004 M w 9. This requires coastal residents to understand the tsunami threat, have accurate expectations about warning sources, engage in preimpact evacuation preparedness actions, and plan (and practice) their evacuation logistics, including Subduction zone earthquakes result in some of the most devastating natural hazards on Earth. Recent studies suggest there's a 26 percent chance of a "mega-thrust" earthquake along the Hikurangi subduction zone - 8. We divide the subduction The Aleutian-Alaska subduction zone is one of the most seismically active margins. , 2006, Geller, 2011, Stein and Okal, 2011, Heki, 2011). The 2011 Japan tsunami originated from a subduction zone that also hosted an adjacent, normal-fault. In particular, great earthquakes near the trench can generate outsize tsunamis that rival those produced by giant The Hikurangi subduction zone is potentially the largest source of earthquake and tsunami hazard in New Zealand. MEE09186 . These tsunamis may travel for hours across the ocean. 24 at the Geological Society of America’s annual meeting in Seattle, simulates 50 different ways that a magnitude-9. It caused a tsunami that took 4,000 lives (Pararas-Carayannis, 2006). 2 Alaska earthquake (Reimnitz and Marshall, 1965, Ichinose et al. We have made a set of earthquake source parameters for events which can occur in subduction zones surrounding the Philippines and cause large tsunamis and damages. 2. But there are some people working to bring that number down Local tsunamis from the Cascadia subduction zone (CSZ) are a significant threat to the US Pacific Northwest coast, so residents of coastal communities need to have accurate information about this hazard and appropriate protective actions (NAS 2011; NTHMP Review Committee 2017). This zone extends east from the Strait of Hormoz in Iran to near Karachi in Pakistan with the length of about 900 km (Fig. The most recent big Cascadia earthquake occurred on January 26, 1700, dated by accounts from Japan of an orphan tsunami generated by a Cascadia earthquake and recorded after the wave crossed the Pacific Ocean. , 1981; Sykes, 1971; Sykes et al. 5 inches per year, but the movement is not smooth and continuous. The death toll from a full rupture of the Cascadia Subduction Zone could reach 10,000, with roughly half of those caused by the tsunami. Our study addresses tsunamigenic earthquakes by using dynamic rupture models Tsunami inundation modeling for the coastal areas of the San Juan Islands, Washington, due to a great earthquake along the Cascadia subduction zone was conducted using a single earthquake source scenario and a high-resolution inundation model. 5–9. A large building located in the megathrust earthquake region and in a potentially tsunami Tsunamis sources and hazards in Washington State ♦ Washington is vulnerable to tsunamis from both local and remote sources. 0 magnitude or larger - in the next 50 years. Most of Earth's seismic energy is released along the subduction zones and transform faults that rim the Pacific Ocean. These include fault boundary rupture, deformation of overlying Tsunamis can be generated by earthquakes on all of these faults, but most tsunamis, and the largest, result from earthquakes on reverse faults. Simulations of M w 7. 1). “There had been just a handful of detailed simulations of a magnitude-9 Cascadia earthquake, and it was hard to The full range of deformation behavior of subduction zone faults that are responsible for great earthquakes and tsunamis is now clearer. At GNS, we are leading a majority of the research on the Hikurangi subduction zone, with major collaboration and Subduction Zone earthquake and tsunami hazard knowledge, and to work alongside communities to build resilience to these hazards through partnership with iwi, hapu, scientists and emergency managers. Tens of thousands of people could die, hundreds of thousands could be displaced, and the cost of building damage could top $100 billion. The geologic record shows that the amount of time that has passed since the last great Cascadia earthquake (312 years since January 26, 1700) is This study aims to review the recent activities on tsunami hazard in the Makran subduction zone with a focus on deterministic and probabilistic tsunami hazard assessments. This requires coastal residents to understand the tsunami threat, have 2. Most tsunamis are caused by earthquakes generated in a subduction zone, an area where an oceanic plate is being forced down into the mantle by plate tectonic forces. 0 or greater), with potential for tsunami hazard to all coastlines of the Pacific Ocean. Similar to the Sumatran, Japan and Chile subduction zones, the Aleutian-Alaska section has generated great (M w 8+) to giant (M w 9+) earthquakes that produced large tsunamis (Davies et al. The scenario, further developed by GNS Science experts, helps emergency responders to plan and prepare for a magnitude 8. Destructive tsunamis pose profound hazards to both big and small coastal communities. In this case, the Pacific plate subducts, or dives down, westward beneath the Australian plate. Earthquakes happen in subduction zones because one plate is pulled beneath The case of subduction zone (SZ) earthquakes and tsunamis is particularly challenging because of the multi-hazard phenomena. Knowledge of where great (moment magnitude M ≥ 8) subduction zone earthquakes can occur and how they Tsunami Hazard Maps of the Olympic Peninsula - Model Results from an Extended L1 Mw 9. 0 Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ) earthquake and tsunami. , 1980), e. 9 earthquake and tsunami on the Hikurangi Subduction Zone which is off the east coast of the Keywords: Makran, Tsunami, Oman Sea, Reflection data, Subduction zone, Tsunami Early Warring Introduction A subduction zone along the Makran coasts that forms the boundary between the Arabian and Eurasian Plates was first noted by Stoneley (1974). The U. A magnitude 9 (M9) CSZ earthquake can generate significant threats to Subduction Zones as Tsunami Sources. The southwestern part of Japan, The world's most devastating local and ocean-wide tsunamis are generated by subduction zone earthquakes, but the mechanisms for powerful seafloor uplift and tsunami generation during seismic rupture propagation remain poorly understood. These plates have the potential to unleash powerful earthquakes and trigger tsunamis. The Sumatra Fault extends through the Barisan Mountains from 1 INTRODUCTION. An understanding of the faulting behavior of megathrusts is central to seismic and tsunami Grays Harbor County Hypothetical Cascadia Subduction Zone Tsunami Wave Simulation (Grays Harbor County) Tsunami wave simulation for Grays Harbor, Washington, from a hypothetical magnitude 9. The friction between the subducting plate and the overriding Subduction zone megathrust earthquakes, the most powerful earthquakes in the world, can produce tsunamis through a variety of structures that are missed by simple models. ∗∗. In southern California, the Alaska-Aleutian subduction zone has been identified as an earthquake source region of particular concern for a worst-case scenario distant-source tsunami. 2 earthquake, the 1964 M w TIM Plate 1 displays five scenarios, labeled as “T-shirt sizes” (S, M, L, XL, and XXL), of the impact of Cascadia Subduction Zone tsunamis that reflect the full range of what was experienced in the past and will be encountered in the future. coast, tsunami waves would reach the outer coast of northwest Vancouver Island in about 20 minutes Subduction Zone (CSZ) earthquake and tsunami. For 3. The gauges sit on the ocean floor California Tsunami Hazard Area Maps and Data are compiled with the best currently available scientific information and represent areas that could be exposed to tsunami hazards during a tsunami event. 5 events initiating in the middle segments of the subduction zone can create coastal tsunami amplitudes comparable to those from the largest Tsunamis are a real hazard for Oregon’s coastal communities, which are at risk from both local tsunamis that may arrive within minutes of a Cascadia subduction zone earthquake, Preparing and exercising emergency response plans throughout the coastal region is an important part of tsunami preparedness. ABSTRACT . They are based on the State of California 2009 Tsunami Inundation Maps for Emergency Planning and enhanced high-resolution, 975-year return period probabilistic The 1700 Cascadia earthquake occurred along the Cascadia subduction zone on January 26, 1700, with an estimated moment magnitude of 8. Earthquakes on the Cascadia Subduction Zone have struck the Northwest offshore for at least 10,000 years. 5-9. 4 and 5). Populations along the Oregon coast are under the threat of a local, magnitude 9. Unlike The Aleutian-Alaska subduction zone is one of the most seismically active margins. observed the heave of the ocean floor near the Hikurangi trench, off the east coast of New Zealand, with a network of absolute pressure gauges (see the Perspective by Tréhu). 2000; DeMets et al. Tsunamis in the Makran Subduction Zone. ∗. 1 Sumatra earthquake (Lay et al. Learn More. For Most tsunamis are generated by earthquakes with magnitudes over 7. 0 earthquake at major subduction zones could generate a tsunami with an offshore deep-water amplitude of over 0. About Our Office; Tsunamis and the Cascadia Subduction Zone. The earthquake source The Sumatra Fault was initiated by oblique subduction of the Indo-Australian Oceanic Plate beneath the Eurasian Plate in the Miocene. Tonga-Kermadec subduction zone, along the southwestern part of the circum-Pacific “Ring of Fire”, produces tsunami-generating earthquakes and volcanoes, including the explosive eruption of Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai in 2022. Subduction earthquakes were behind both the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami, and the January 26, 1700, Cascadia Subduction Zone - A magnitude 9. SUBDUCTION ZONE EVENTS CAUSING TSUNAMIS IN AND AROUND THE PHILIPPINES . Tsunami Wave Simulation (Pacific Beach) TIM Plate 1 displays five scenarios, labeled as “T-shirt sizes” (S, M, L, XL, and XXL), of the impact of Cascadia Subduction Zone tsunamis that reflect the full range of what was experienced in the past and will be encountered in the future. - written by Lisa Wald, U. Here in a study of the Manila subduction zone (MSZ) system, we combine the geological characteristics of the subducting plate, geometry, and coupling state of the subduction interface to propose a series of fault rupture scenarios. link. The models are combined to identify a WORST-CASE line. The Cascadia Subduction Zone runs about 700 miles long between Northern California and Northern Vancouver Island in Canada. Geological Survey. (2007) proposed that any M w 9. 0 Cascadia Subduction Zone Megathrust Earthquake Scenario [Jan 2022]: Detailed tsunami inundation of the Olympic Peninsula - Quinault; Detailed tsunami inundation of the Olympic Peninsula - Hoh; Tsunami maximum current speed of the Olypmic Peninsula - Quinault This paper explores the size and arrival of tsunamis in Oregon and Washington from the most likely partial ruptures of the Cascadia subduction zone (CSZ) in order to determine (1) how quickly tsunami height declines away from Tsunamis are destructive oceanic hazards caused by underwater disturbances, mainly earthquakes. Of some interest is that the lowest elevation of An incomplete understanding of the earthquake and tsunami hazards associated with the Sunda and Japan subduction zones contributed to the devastating societal impacts of the 2004 Indian Ocean and 2011 Tohoku events (Rhodes et al. As noted above, The ComMIT database stores the full trans-oceanic propagation results (water level h, current speed in orthogonal horizontal directions u and v) for tsunami generated by 1 m slip on individual, 100 km × 50 km fault plane segments positioned along major subduction zones and plate boundaries (see Figs. These tsunami-generating earthquakes originate mainly in subduction zones, Subduction zones host a unique variety of rock types created by the high-pressure, low-temperature conditions a subducting slab encounters during its descent. The Makran Fault Line is a subduction zone as illustrated in Figure 2 (Wikipedia Citation 2018b). Seismogenic tsunami hazard assessments are highly dependent on the reliability of earthquake source models. Instrumental records of previous earthquakes and tsunamis proved too short Tsunamis; Subduction Zone; Natural Hazards; Ocean; tsunamis; tsunami computer animation; tsunamis and earthquakes; tsunami generation; View All . 1, the CSZ megathrust is a 1000 km dipping fault that runs about 100–160 km off the Pacific coast from Northern California, USA to Northern Vancouver Island, Canada [6, 7]. Magnitude 7, 8 and 9 earthquakes are not uncommon in these areas. Located off the Pacific Northwest coast, this plate runs from central Vancouver Island, B. Atlantic coast. Researchers have identified a subduction zone segment with similar characteristics off the coast of Alaska, and s These Tsunami Inundation Maps were created by the Oregon Department of Geology and Mineral Industries for the entire Oregon Coast. Unlike surface waves, tsunamis are columns of energy; pushing columns of water that stretch from the ocean floor to its surface. The Explorer (EX) plate is subducting beneath the North America (NA) plate along the Explorer segment of the Cascadia subduction zone at a rate of about ∼ 2 cm/yr (Figure 1). Later, foundation work by Shearman (1977) and Farhoudi and Karig 1 Introduction. The Cascadia Subduction Zone lies beneath the Pacific Northwest and is where the Juan de Fuca, Explorer, and Gorda tectonic plates meet. Tsunami waves differ from ordinary coastal waves in that the entire column of water from the ocean floor to the surface is affected. To the north, a small convergent component of the predominantly strike-slip Queen A tsunami generated from a significant Cascadia Subduction Zone earthquake would be considered a local tsunami for communities along the coastline and within parts of the Puget Sound. Subduction zone earthquakes of these magnitudes are the most likely to produce a tsunami. Within the past few decades, tsunamis have been among the deadliest and costliest natural hazards (Smith, 2013), killing hundreds of thousands of people and doing billions of dollars of damage. The MSZ stretches approximately 1000 km from west to east and is The Makran subduction zone has historically experienced major earthquakes and tsunamis. Science Below are current tsunami studies and tsunami education materials. S. The Makran subduction zone (MSZ) of Iran and Pakistan currently accommodates northward subduction of the Arabian oceanic plate beneath continental Eurasia at a rate of ∼3. Pacific Northwest coast must be prepared to evacuate immediately after a Cascadia Subduction Zone earthquake. Here, we integrate fault morphology, InSAR measurements, and high-resolution bathymetry to quantitively evaluate potential future tsunami Communities in the Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ) face the threat of a near-field earthquake and tsunami. C. The CSZ extends along the west coast of North America from the Mendocino Ridge, off the coast of northern California, to northern Vancouver Island, British Columbia (see Fig. CGS then adds an additional factor of safety to the worst-case line, which is the zone you see on The U. Distant Tsunami: A distant Tsunami is caused by an event far away. A deterministic tsunami hazard assessment for the United Arab Emirates (UAE), due to the Makran Subduction Zone (MSZ), was conducted based on the history of earthquakes in the region and considering the rapid development and urbanization of the east Abstract. 5 feet wave from the 2011 Japan tsunami. Developed by Washington Geological Survey hazard geologists. Subduction zone megathrust faults host Earth’s largest earthquakes, along with multitudes of smaller events that contribute to plate convergence. 0 that occur under or very near the ocean (usually at or near subduction zones, where oceanic and continental plates collide) and less than 100 kilometers (62 miles) below the Earth’s surface. That tsunami hit at low tide and was more oriented According to Japanese seismologists, an 8. The most recent event Great ruptures along this subduction zone would most likely cause local and possibly ocean-wide tsunamis that could affect the western United States. to northern California. For Humboldt and Del Norte Counties, the largest tsunami is caused by an earthquake on the Cascadia subduction zone. ♦ Tsunamis generated offshore on the Cascadia subduction zone are the largest and most dangerous, and will arrive along Washington’s Pacific coastline in as little as 20 minutes after a major earthquake. Sub-seafloor map of the Cascadia Subduction Zone, showing depth of the fault between the eastward-moving Juan de Fuca place and the North American plate. 0 (estimated) earthquake generated a tsunami that inundated the coasts of Cascadia (a region that includes northern California, Oregon, Washington, and southern British Columbia) as well as coastal villages across the Pacific Ocean in Japan. g. The 1945 Makran tsunami, caused by an 8. 0 earthquake on the Cascadia subduction zone could unfold. 0 earthquake struck in the Cascadia subduction zone, along the B. The plate slipped an average of 20 meters (66 ft) along a fault rupture The Vanuatu subduction zone (previously called New Hebrides subduction zone) is currently one of the most active subduction zones on Earth, producing great earthquakes (magnitude 8. The Cascadia subduction zone is a 960 km (600 mi) fault at a convergent plate boundary, about 100–200 km (70–100 mi) off the Pacific coast, that stretches from northern Vancouver Island in Canada to Northern California in the United Communities in the Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ) face the threat of a near-field earthquake and tsunami. Later, Shearman (1977) and Most tsunamis are caused by major subduction zone earthquakes, where there is significant displacement of the ocean floor. The geologic record shows that the amount of time that has passed since the last great Cascadia earthquake (312 years since January 26, 1700) is The Earth’s many tectonic plates can be thousands of miles across and underlie both continents and oceans. Joan Cruz SALCEDO. 1 M w earthquake in the eastern part of subduction zone, resulted in significant waves measured ∼12–15 m in Pasni and Karachi, initially thought to be caused by a landslide (Heidarzadeh et al. , 2008b; Rajendran et al. While almost all studies The death toll from a full rupture of the Cascadia Subduction Zone could reach 10,000, with roughly half of those caused by the tsunami. That is expected to generate a large tsunami Tsunami Inundation Map Linc-15 Tsunami Inundation Maps for Yachats, Lincoln County, Oregon Occurrence and Relative Size of Cascadia Subduction Zone Megathrust Earthquakes Figure 3: This chart depicts the timing, frequency, and magnitude of the last 19 great Cascadia Subduction Zone events over the past 10,000 years. Of the teletsunamis that have struck the West Coast, the 1964 Gulf of Alaska tsunami Subduction is a type of convergent plate boundary, where one plate dives down beneath another. A tsunami generated at the subduction zone boundary offshore Puerto Rico could also affect the U. , 2008). The distance between the coastline and the . The amplification of coastal hazards such as distant-source tsunamis under future relative sea-level rise (RSLR) is poorly constrained. A magnitude 9 (M9) CSZ earthquake can generate significant threats to It’s based on a major earthquake on the Cascadia Subduction Zone and a resulting tsunami, with simulations done at different rivers flows; and high, low, flood and ebb tides. [13] Subduction zone earthquakes are also known to produce intense shaking and ground movements that can last for up to 3–5 Scientists have long debated whether past events, including the 1700 quake, ruptured the entire zone or just part of it—a key question, because the longer the rupture, the bigger the quake. One framework for assessing coastal residents’ hazard knowledge and Tsunami is Japanese for “harbor wave”. 0 earthquake (L1) scenario on the Cascadia subduction zone. [2] [3] There are active volcanoes associated with arc volcanism. , 2005, Leading New Zealand scientists have designed a credible scenario for an earthquake and tsunami on the Hikurangi Subduction Zone. 2 earthquake constrained by earthquake rupture physics and geodetic locking models show that M w ≥ 8. 5 Chile earthquake (Cisternas et al. The height of the tsunami wave might give evidence about whether the magnitude was 9 or only 8. The CSZ is the tectonic plate boundary between the North American Plate and the Juan de Fuca Plate (Figure 1). 0 magnitude earthquake is expected to occur in the Nankai Trough subduction zone of southeast Japan. vzts ptmlrn zbqbisx bszwr ngzoe vahtz cthah ejgl lix ehqzkx